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central-banking

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End-to-End Python replication of Camara & Aublin's (2025) monetary spillover analysis methodology. Implements rotational-angle decomposition, Bayesian VAR with Normal-Wishart priors, sign restrictions for shock identification, and a full robustness suite for international macroeconomic analysis.

  • Updated Sep 19, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

Ternary Logic enforces evidence based economics. It stops risky actions during uncertainty, records every decision with immutable proof, exposes hidden manipulation, anchors economic history across public blockchains, protects stakeholders from opaque systems, and ensures capital flows remain accountable to society and the planet.

  • Updated Dec 28, 2025
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End-to-End Python replication of Iadisernia & Camassa’s LLM macroeconomic forecasting methodology (ICAIF 2025). Implements: 2,368 synthetic economist profiles, 120,000+ GPT-4o forecasts across 50 European Central Bank (ECB) SPF rounds, a rigorous ablation study with Monte Carlo & binomial hypothesis testing.

  • Updated Nov 6, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

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